Saturday, November 09, 2024

A New Trump Presidency - What Now America?

 


So 51% of Americans have chosen Trump over Kamala Harris, which is a stunning choice.

What happens next is known only to him and I don't even think he knows what he'll do.

He has gotten his wish. To stay out of jail. His work is done and he may as well delegate the job of being president to others and go golfing. I think he liked to play at being president, but as anyone who has done the job or been near one, the job is very difficult and Mr T was never that interested in the details.


One factor is that he is 78, exhausted and showing signs of illness.

Also his disinhibition has grown dramatically, but he's always been one to blow smoke and he's encouraged to do so by the people around him.

 So is he serious about his campaign promises? Historically, not really, but he's in a vengeful space so we'll see what plays out.


He promised to 

  • jail his enemies
  • deport all the undocumented workers
  • put tariffs on any thing from China and other places
  • give a tax break to the wealthy
  • "take care of" women

Jail his enemies
One hopes he just talking out his ass as we do have laws here and it would be very difficult for him to up and arrest someone for no reason. We do need to watch out for this as that would be a doorway to fascism.

I, for one, am giving lots of money to the ACLU.

Deport all the undocumented workers
This is provably impossible. There are 11 to 12 million undocumented workers and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) employs approximately 22,000 personnel with only a portion dedicated to deportation with also 24,000 Border Patrol agents stationed along the southwest border. An actual deportation of a person is a multi-step process that involves many people. If he even mandates that this happen it will be bad news for a few thousand but the reality of the current process is highly limiting. Now this doesn't stop Steven Miller from chasing people across the border with an AR-15, but even that can only go so far.

There's another reality that never gets mentioned and we need to talk about it right now.
If all the undocumented farm workers go away, we will starve. This is hugely serious, and the repercussions are terrifying.


Put tariffs on any thing from China and other places
I'm hoping that Elon Musk explains to Trump what a horribly bad idea this is.
A tariff on imported goods just raises the price of that item. It is a sales tax on the buyer, not the seller. If people are unhappy about prices they really will be unhappy about paying even more for stuff.


Give a tax break to the wealthy
This will depend on who ends up with control of the house (still up in the air at the time of this writing.) The house controls the purse strings.


"Take care of" women
As has been pointed out by commentators. This is seriously poking at the sleeping giant. Last time Thump was elected there were massive protests and more will be on the way. I have also been giving to Planned Parenthood.



Looking ahead
The Democratic bench is deep, young, and smart.
Once they get past playing the "what went wrong" blame game (probably a necessary step that I'm not that interested in) they can be quite formidable.
The hard part now is to keep the Thump administration from trashing the place. There will be a chance to partially recover in two years (midterm), and, of course, four years.

All is not lost.

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